Fleeting Generalization: How Unstable Belief Updating Keeps People Overly Pessimistic About Talking to Strangers
Journal of Personality and Social Psychology (2026) Authors: Stav Atir and Nicholas Epley Abstract: Conversations with strangers and weak ties tend to be positive experiences, and yet research suggests a reliable tendency to hold overly pessimistic expectations about such conversations. We examine how people update their beliefs after talking with strangers to understand how people’s miscalibrated …